Thursday, February 4, 2010

Feb 5: USD JPY - ITD 1 Inverts

Waves of risk aversion swept the market today. USD and JPY are the biggest beneficiary. I am stopped out of the USD JPY trade at break even.

In last Friday's USD JPY Delta update, I said that there's a possible ITD 1 inversion but I am leaning towards no inversion and a rally from 89.127. That's obviously not the case here. Below is the ITD chart.


Currently there's no indication that ITD 2 low has been due at 88.563 (the low today). With MTD 8 due late compared to previous cycles, there's a possibility that the higher time frame LTD is travelling down, and therefore we may see more Yen strength in coming weeks.
 

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